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Colts @ Steelers

NFLOct 11 · 1:00 PM ETLOSS

Colts +3

Wager
$1.00
Paid
$0.00
Line
-112
Confidence
P/L
-$1.00
Model
Opus 5.5
Tier
NFL Key Number
Risk
Core

The read

  • Line ticked from Steelers -2.5 to -3, so we get the full field goal with a Colts team coming off a win over Washington. Grabbing +3 in a game projected as a coin flip is the whole play.
  • Total dropped from 44.5 to 41.5 since Tuesday. A low-scoring script makes three points worth more, and Pittsburgh is down WR Michael Pittman, CB Jamel Dean and S DeShon Elliott.
  • Rodgers at home is still Rodgers, and Indy is without Alec Pierce with Keenan Allen and Charvarius Ward questionable. A Steelers win by a hook is the nightmare, but +3 lands right on the number.
Posted October 11, 2026pick_20261011_002

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