Two NFL key-number reads we would play alone: the undefeated Niners catching a full field goal in Seattle, and the Falcons laying only three to a Ravens team handing the keys to Tyler Huntley on Sunday night.
SF is 4-0 off a 24-14 handling of Denver with Purdy, CMC and Kittle all cooking, and the sims only have Seattle by about 3; Lamar is out with the ankle, Huntley is a sub-.500 career starter, and Atlanta brings the No. 1 run defense (48.3 ypg) plus the second-highest pressure rate against a run-first offense.
Seattle owns the stingiest pass defense in the league at home, and Atlanta is 30th against the pass if Baltimore lets Huntley sling it, but -105 and -120 rolling to +258 is two reads that clear a 3 on their own.