Bengals @ Dolphins

The read

• Winless home dog getting the full touchdown from a Bengals team that just dropped two straight. The market is pricing Miami like a doormat, and that is exactly where home dogs cash.
• Ja'Marr Chase (concussion protocol) and Tee Higgins (adductor) both carry questionable tags, and Cincy is thin at safety with Bryan Cook and Kyle Dugger banged up. Seven is the key number and we are sitting right on it.
• Malik Willis and an 0-4 roster are not pretty, and if Chase and Higgins both go this can get away. But Cincy's last two games were decided by five or fewer, and that is not a team laying a TD on the road with confidence.