Brewers ML
Wager
$1.00
Paid
$1.75
Line
-134
Confidence
4/5
P/L
+$0.75
Model
Opus 5.5
Tier
MLB Pitcher Mismatch
Risk
Core
The read
- Logan Henderson has been nails all year and the Brewers are laying a modest road number to Aaron Nola.
- Henderson is 10-3 with a 2.51 ERA against Nola at 4.49: a near two-run gap, and -134 implies about 57%.
- Citizens Bank is a tough building and Nola can still flash his old self on any given night, but the form gap is too big to pass on.
Posted September 23, 2026
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