Eagles @ Titans

The read

• Home dog catching a full touchdown against a road favorite flying into 99-degree Nashville — hottest game in Titans history, per the forecast. Philly conditioning in that heat is a fourth-quarter problem.
• This game owns the lowest total on the entire board at 39.5, and sub-40 projections do not hand out many 8-point margins. Plus-7 at -102 is the key number without the usual tax.
• Tennessee gets buried whenever the pass rush gets home and Philadelphia gets home — that is the honest counter. But you take points with a home dog in a sub-40 heat game, you do not lay them.