BYU Cougars @ Colorado State Rams

The read

• No documented angle got to confidence 3 for the swing slot today, so this is the reach -- and of everything priced +300 or longer on the board, Colorado State at home is the one with actual reasons behind it.
• The Rams are putting up 46.5 points a game and come in with a clean injury report, while BYU is without S Damuni and has Moa and Nye both questionable heading into Fort Collins.
• BYU is ranked and laying 17.5 for a reason -- +675 implies about 13% and an outright home upset is roughly that, so you are paying fair price for a puncher-s chance at altitude, not stealing one.