Blue Jays @ Royals

The read

• Dobnak at 2.65 against Arrighetti at 4.82 is a clean tier hit and we get plus money on the home side, which is exactly the spot this angle has cashed in
• Arrighetti carries a 5.16 xERA and sits in the 26th percentile in run value, and the last time he saw this lineup Kansas City hung 13 runs on him on Aug 27
• Toronto is on a four-game heater fighting for the last Wild Card and Dobnak's 40-strikeout sample is thin, so this is a lean at +102, not a lock