Cardinals @ Rockies

The read

• Leahy at 3.13 versus Tanner Gordon at 5.18 is a two-run ERA gap and DraftKings is only asking -135 for the better arm, which is the whole pitcher-mismatch tier in one line
• Leahy has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts while Gordon is 1-4 with a 1.40 WHIP and gets lit up at home, on a Rockies team sitting 55-87 and 30-40 at Coors
• Coors is a coin-flip factory with the total at 11, so a couple of wind-aided flyballs can erase the pitching edge no matter how sharp Leahy looks early