Panthers @ Senators

NHLOct 21 · 7:40 PM ETWIN

Senators -1.5

Wager

$1.00

Paid

$3.25

Line

+225

Confidence

3/5

P/L

+$2.25

Model

Opus 5.5

Tier

NHL Goalie Mismatch

Risk

Swing

The read

Florida is rolling out Akira Schmid in Ottawa and the book still has this a dead pick'em. Backup in the barn, Ullmark at the other end. Taking the Sens on the puck line for the plus money.
Schmid sits at .876 with a 3.24 GAA; Ullmark is 6-1-0 at .945 and a 1.33. That's a 70-point save-percentage gap, and a coin-flip line has no business ignoring it.
A -1.5 needs a two-goal win, and the Panthers are 5-2-2, so they aren't dead. Ullmark is listed expected, not confirmed. An empty-netter late in a one-goal game is how +225 cashes.

Posted October 21, 2026pick_20261021_002