Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Florida International Panthers

The read

• Taking the full 10 in a 45.5-total game. In a CFB game that low, double digits is a huge chunk of the scoring, and +10 is one of the key numbers this tier exists for.
• FIU is averaging under 20 points a game, and its own 3-3 record includes a 27-24 loss at Jacksonville State last week. Middle Tennessee is coming off a 33-30 win over Delaware with Roman Gagliano throwing for 291 and 3 TDs.
• The Blue Raiders scored 13 and 0 in their last two road games, and FIU defense is legit. If Gagliano cannot move it in Miami this gets ugly, but asking a sub-20 offense to win by 11 is a big ask.