Alabama Crimson Tide @ Tennessee Volunteers

The read

• Third Saturday in October in Neyland, a 5-1 ranked Vols team getting more than a touchdown at home. Conference home dog with the hook past 7, right in the cfb_home_dog sweet spot.
• Alabama will be without its top receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams (23 catches, 415 yards, 4 TDs), ruled out by DeBoer. Tennessee's only loss was a 20-17 thriller to Texas.
• Bama's offense has put up 45+ in four of its last five, so if the Vols can't get stops this turns into a shootout they can't cash. The extra half-point over 7 gives us room for a one-score Tide win.