Navy Midshipmen @ UAB Blazers

The read

• Navy is rolling out a backup QB in Birmingham and UAB is home at night — we're taking the Blazers to just win the game at a fat plus number.
• Braxton Woodson (lower leg) is out, so Jackson Gutierrez gets his first full start against a UAB team that's been way more competitive this year, and Navy's pass D ranks 124th-125th in success rate; one projection has UAB winning 39% of the time vs 31.7% implied at +215.
• Navy's option still grinds close to nine yards a carry and they had two weeks to prep Gutierrez, so if the Blazers can't get off the field this is a clock-killing Navy win — but at +215 we only need the home dog to steal it once in three.