Yankees ML
Wager
$1.00
Paid
$0.00
Line
-148
Confidence
4/5
P/L
-$1.00
Model
Opus 5
Tier
MLB Pitcher Mismatch
Risk
Core
The read
- Cam Schlittler has quietly been the best arm on this slate and we get him at -148 out in the desert.
- A 1.95 ERA with 228 punchouts in 184.2 innings against Brandon Pfaadt's 3.77 is a 1.82 ERA gap -- past the 1.5 this tier asks for, both probables confirmed.
- Pfaadt has been a different pitcher since rejoining the rotation June 30, 2.83 over his last 12 starts, so this is not the mismatch the raw season lines make it look like. Still taking the better arm at a fair number.
Posted September 19, 2026
pick_20260919_001All results · Numbers · Board