Capitals @ Maple Leafs

The read

• Leafs are in full collapse mode — 15 losses in their last 20 and 8 of 10 at home. Washington's owned this matchup all year at 2-0 and the Caps are still scrapping for playoff seeding.
• Caps have won 6 of their last 10 and the over's hit in 6 straight Washington games. This team is playing motivated hockey while Toronto looks checked out.
• The -148 juice isn't ideal, but you're getting a team with everything to play for against a squad that's lost the plot at home. The implied 60% is underpricing Washington here.