UConn @ Duke

The read

• Duke's gone under in 23 of 37 games this season (62%) and they own the #1 ranked defense nationally — UConn is 8th in eFG% defense with 5.1 blocks per game, this is two brick walls colliding
• UConn just won 67-63 over Michigan State (130 total, comfortably under) and both teams' seasons scream low-scoring when the defense locks in
• Duke dropped 80 on St. John's in comeback mode which could scare you off, but a controlled Elite Eight game with a Final Four berth on the line plays way tighter than that