Houston's tournament D held opponents to 22.2% from three, Purdue's shooting 57.8% from deep against Texas's 253rd-ranked three-point defense, and Arizona's eFG% defense is first in the country
Each leg targets a specific exploitable mismatch — not a blind parlay, every favorite here has a real statistical edge
8.5 is a big number for Purdue but their shooting efficiency vs Texas's defensive holes makes it the most exploitable line on the board