Heat @ Cavaliers

NBAMar 25 · 7:40 PM ETWIN

Heat +2.5

Wager

$1.00

Paid

$1.91

Line

-110

Confidence

4/5

P/L

+$0.91

Model

Opus 4.6

Tier

NBA Back-to-Back Fade

Risk

Core

The read

Cavs on the back end of a back-to-back after a 136-131 slugfest with Orlando — Mitchell and Harden both played heavy minutes and now face Miami's grinding defense
2.5 points of cushion at -110 implies 52.4% but the fatigue angle pushes this closer to 56-58%
Miami is built to punish tired teams and 2.5 is free money in a B2B spot

Posted March 25, 2026pick_20260325_001